Monday Service Play Thread 11/08/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Indian Cowboy

C-Unit Play. #475. Take Bears +6.5 Over Steelers (Monday @ 8:15 pm est)

We like the Bears to hang tough there today. I think this is a bad spot for the Steelers and likely have a let down coming off that upset win over the Browns last week. This is a Steelers team that clearly struggles in the favorite role as we have seen this season. They are still winless as a favorite at 0-3 losing as -5.5 favorites against Geno and the Seahawks, -5.5 favorites against the Raiders, and losing to the Bengals as -2.5 favorites. They have always been a good team to back as a dog but not a favorite. If they could not cover against Geno and the Seahawks not sure they can cover -6.5 against the Bears. The other factor you have to consider is on a low total of 40 it is clear points are going to be valuable in what will likely be a close game which gives us value on the Bears. This is more of a play fading the Steelers than a play on the Bears. I just dont see how the Steelers will get up by more than a touchdown here especially on a low total of 40. If you wait till Monday we likely see some -7 pop up once more of the public money comes in on gameday and that is just too many points for the Steelers to be laying. Bears just put up 22 points against a good 49ers defense which is impressive. Take the Bears to keep this one close. Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

 

[BuzzKill]

Sportsline Projection Model

Steelers 25, Bears 15

 

[BuzzKill]

Vernon Croy

D* Chicago Under 40

 

[BuzzKill]

Scott Spreitzer

D* Bears +6.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Pointwise

Late Phone Service

B* Bears

 

[BuzzKill]

Bet-My-Ticket

Avai-CSA : Over 2 @ 1.78

Clinceni - FC Rapid : Over 2 @ 1.62

Total Odds : 2.88

 

[BuzzKill]

nbaundertips

Denver Nuggets – Miami Heat
Under 206

 

[BuzzKill]

Gambling God Sports Picks

NFL
CHICAGO +7

NBA
MIAMI -2

Sports Handicapper King

NHL
WASHINGTON

NBA
GOLDEN STATE -3.5

 

[bribux]

GreenPunter

American Football
Pittsburgh Steelers - Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears +7

 

[ryangenero]

Football Jesus : Steelers

 

[BuzzKill]

Madden08 Recap (updated)

Accu Picks
C Brooklyn +1

Al Demarco
Golden State

ATS Covers
Lakers/Nuggets Under 226.5
Bears/Steelers Over 39

August Young
D Nets/Bulls Over 216.5

Bob Balfe
Pittsburgh -7

Carmine Bianco
D Parlay Capitals ml & Leafs ml

Chris Jordan
Golden State Warriors

Doc's Sports
C New York/Philadelphia Over 212
C Lakers ml

Football Jesus
Steelers

Gabriel Dupont
Florida Panthers - NHL

Gambling God Sports Picks
Bears +7
Heat -2

GreenPunter
Bears +7

Gus Augustine
Steelers/Bears Over

H&H Sports
D Steelers -6.5
C Grizzlies -5.5
B Nuggets +2
A Warriors/Hawks Over 222
A Suns -150 ml
A Hornets/Lakers Under 228
C Florida -110

Indian Cowboy
C Bears +6.5

Jack Brayman
Steelers

Jason Sharpe
C New York Rangers +110

Jay McNeil
Phoenix Suns

Kirby Maxwell
Pittsburgh Steelers

Larry Hartstein
Bears +6.5

Matt Rivers
Knicks

Matt Severance
Heat -115

Mike Tierney
Chicago/Pittsburgh Under 39

Mitchell Newman
Denver Nuggets

NBAUndertips
Nuggets/Heat Under 206

Northcoast
B Chicago +7
Chicago/Pittsburgh Over 39.5 (marq)

Pickswise Sports
B Bears +7.5 [-120]
B Bears/Steelers Under 40.5
B Grizzlies -5.5
B Nuggets +2
B Lakers/Hornets Under 228

Pointwise Phones
B Bears

RJ White
Chicago +6.5

Rob Veno
D Timberwolves/Grizzlies Over 110 1st Half
D Suns/Kings Over 110.5 1st Half
C NY Knicks -2
C NY Knicks -1 1st Half

R&R Totals
Panthers/Rangers Under 5.5
Heat/Nuggets Over 205.5

Scott Spreitzer
D Bears +6.5

Sports Handicapper King
Capitals
Warriors -3.5

Trace Adams
Bears

Vegas Sports Informer
E Brooklyn/Chicago Over 216

Vernon Croy
D Chicago/Pittsburgh Under 40

Wunderdog
Atlanta +3.5

 

[satches]

CAPPING FOOTBALL
OVER 39 BEARS/STEELERS
STEELERS-7

 

[GalenThomas]

MNF Note: Chicago is 1-9 UNDER the total as a non-division road dog of 4 or more pts. The Bears are 1-5 UNDER the total in their last 6 Monday games. Pittsburgh is 1-4 UNDER the total in their last five Monday games.

 

[buda21711]

Danny Burke’s Best Bet (VSIN)

Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs (-255, 5.5)
We’re starting to see 6s on this total between the Kings and Maple Leafs and I agree with the notion that this could be a higher-scoring game. This is a small play on a light card, but Toronto is averaging nearly 11 high-danger chances per game at 5-on-5 this season. The Kings are averaging 9.6 and Toronto is giving up an average of 9.7 per game. The Maple Leafs are not great in their own zone, but do generate tons of offensive chances.

Toronto’s high-danger save percentage is a bit high in my opinion, so that seems ripe for some regression. On the other hand, Toronto’s high-danger shooting percentage is low, as their actual Goals For at 5-on-5 is 21, but their Expected Goals For (xGF) is almost 28. We should get a lot of opportunities tonight, so I have a small play here on the over.

Pick: Over 5.5 (or 6 with low juice)

 

[BuzzKill]

August Young

*D Over 216.5 -110 Nets/Bulls

 

[BuzzKill]

Northcoast

Late Phone: B* Chicago (+7) Pittsburgh

Top Opinions Monday Night Marquee: Over 39.5 Chicago/Pittsburgh

 

[BuzzKill]

Pickswise Sports

NFL
B* Bears +7.5 [-120]
B* Under 40.5

NBA
B* Grizzlies -5.5
B* Nuggets +2
B* Lakers/Hornets Under 228

 

[BuzzKill]

Rob Veno

D% Game: (505) Minnesota Timberwolves at (506) Memphis Grizzlies Play: 1H Total Over 110.0 (-110)

D% Game: (513) Phoenix Suns at (514) Sacramento Kings Play: 1H Total Over 110.5 (-110)

 

[BuzzKill]

Jason Sharpe NHL

3U New York Rangers +110